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Complete revision guide covering all 5 topics in Statistics & Probability for the Edexcel IGCSE Mathematics (9-1) specification. From data representation to conditional probability — free worked examples, exam tips, and practice resources.
Statistics & Probability is the sixth and final topic area in IGCSE Edexcel Mathematics, worth 10-16% of the total exam mark. It covers data representation (bar charts, pie charts, histograms, cumulative frequency), statistical measures (mean, median, mode, range from grouped data), box plots and distribution comparisons, basic probability with tree diagrams and sample spaces, and conditional probability with dependent events. This topic area rewards careful reading and methodical working.
Source: Edexcel IGCSE Mathematics (9-1) Specification 4MA1
Statistics and probability questions are among the most accessible on the paper — but also the easiest to lose marks on through careless errors. Always show the full calculation for averages (write out the numerator and denominator), label all axes on graphs, and use fraction notation for probabilities (converting only when asked). Use our free worksheets for targeted practice and keep the formula sheet open as a quick reference.
Each guide below covers the key concepts, worked examples from Grade 5 through Grade 9, common exam mistakes, and targeted revision tips. Click any topic to access the full study guide.
Construct and interpret bar charts, pie charts, frequency polygons, cumulative frequency curves, and histograms with equal and unequal class widths. Read values from graphs.
Study GuideCalculate mean, median, mode, and range from raw data, frequency tables, and grouped frequency tables. Estimate the mean from grouped data and identify the modal class.
Study GuideDraw and interpret box plots from cumulative frequency curves. Calculate quartiles, interquartile range, and use these to compare two distributions with reasoned conclusions.
Study GuideCalculate theoretical and experimental probability. Use sample space diagrams and tree diagrams. Find expected frequency and understand the relationship between probability and relative frequency.
Study GuideCalculate probability for combined events using the addition and multiplication rules. Understand independent and dependent events. Solve conditional probability problems using tree diagrams and two-way tables.
Study GuideStatistics questions appear on both Paper 1 (non-calculator) and Paper 2 (calculator). On Paper 1, expect frequency table calculations, simple probability, and reading values from given charts. On Paper 2, expect histogram construction, cumulative frequency curves, box plot comparisons, and conditional probability problems using tree diagrams or two-way tables. Probability questions often appear in the middle of the paper at Standard tier and towards the end at Higher tier.
Statistical Measures
4-8 marks, mean/median calculations
Data Representation
4-6 marks, chart construction & reading
Box Plots & Comparisons (H)
4-6 marks, drawing & interpreting
Basic Probability
4-6 marks, tree diagrams & expected frequency
Conditional Probability (H)
4-6 marks, demanding final questions
Using frequency instead of frequency density for histograms
When class widths are unequal, the y-axis must show frequency density (frequency divided by class width). Using raw frequency gives bars with incorrect heights and loses all marks.
Not using the midpoint for estimated mean from grouped data
The estimated mean uses the midpoint of each class interval multiplied by its frequency. Using the upper or lower bound instead of the midpoint gives an incorrect answer.
Forgetting to multiply along branches of a tree diagram
To find the probability of a combined outcome, multiply the probabilities along the branch. Then add the probabilities of different branches that lead to the same overall outcome.
Not adjusting probabilities for "without replacement" questions
When items are not replaced, the total number decreases and the composition changes for the second selection. A common error is keeping the denominators the same as the first pick.
Misreading cumulative frequency as frequency
Cumulative frequency gives the running total up to each value. To find the frequency for a single class, subtract the previous cumulative frequency from the current one.
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Last updated: March 2026
Common questions about this IGCSE Maths topic area.
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